{"id":30439,"date":"2021-02-26T07:37:52","date_gmt":"2021-02-26T03:37:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/?p=30439"},"modified":"2021-02-26T07:37:52","modified_gmt":"2021-02-26T03:37:52","slug":"earths-existential-threats-inequality-pandemics-and-climate-change-demand-global-leadership","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/earths-existential-threats-inequality-pandemics-and-climate-change-demand-global-leadership\/","title":{"rendered":"Earth\u2019s existential threats: inequality, pandemics and climate change demand global leadership"},"content":{"rendered":"

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 <\/p>\n

By Jacob Ainscough<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"Climate change is a global concern.<\/span>\u00a0DisobeyArt via Shutterstock<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Asked in 2003, the UK\u2019s astronomer royal, Martin Rees, gave our present society 50\/50 odds of lasting until the end of the century. It\u2019s fair to say the odds haven\u2019t improved in the years since he made this call. The planet is warming, a pandemic runs wild, the threat of nuclear war still hangs overhead and emerging technologies are allowing for the development of new weapons of mass destruction. Existential threats to human existence are growing \u2013 and the time left to address them gets ever shorter.<\/span><\/p>\n

So the new presidential term in the world\u2019s most powerful nation takes on a special significance. The Biden-Harris administration cannot tackle the global challenges we face alone, but the US will be pivotal to efforts to wind back the doomsday clock. Joe Biden made his agenda clear in a short passage of his inaugural speech:<\/span><\/p>\n

A once-in-a-century virus silently stalks the country \u2026 A cry for racial justice, some 400 years in the making, moves us \u2026 A cry for survival comes from the planet itself \u2026 The rise of political extremism, white supremacy, domestic terrorism, that we must confront, and we will defeat.<\/span><\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

After the Trump years, these new political commitments from the world\u2019s dominant power are welcome. Yet this rhetoric reveals a flaw in Biden\u2019s conception of the threats facing the world. Each issue is treated as a distinct challenge. But our research on catastrophic risks reveals that such threats are actually deeply interconnected. Threats facing humanity are a many-headed Hydra \u2013 they are all parts of the same beast.<\/span><\/p>\n

Threat and inequality<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

The catastrophic risks are held together by a sinew of racial, gender, economic and political inequalities that simultaneously exacerbate each threat and block potential action to address them. Take the climate crisis. Desertification, land degradation and extreme weather disproportionately affect the world\u2019s poorest countries and are estimated to have increased international inequality by 25% in the past 50 years.<\/span><\/p>\n

But inequality also drives climate change. The richest 10% of the global population are responsible for more than 52% of all emissions. Globally, carbon dioxide emissions track GDP growth with remarkable tenacity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Higher inequality means less of the benefits of growth accrue to those at the bottom. More growth, and therefore emissions, are then required to meet the material needs of the world\u2019s population. Meanwhile the fossil fuel industry has stymied action with its constant lobbying and sowing of doubt about the connection between fossil fuels and climate change. These factors together threaten to lock us into a downward spiral of worsening inequality and climate breakdown.<\/span><\/p>\n

A similar story can be told about other threats. The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated inequalities both between and within countries. Social distancing is made more difficult the further down the economic scale you are. And access to vaccines seems to follow the same pattern, especially on an international scale.<\/span><\/p>\n

Or consider artificial intelligence (AI). The increasing capabilities of AI technologies pose a threat to the global political order. These include the use of facial recognition to empower surveillance states, worsening disinformation, the large-scale use of lethal autonomous weapons (killer robots) and \u2013 more speculatively and long-term \u2013 the potential development of an \u201cartificial general intelligence\u201d as smart and capable as humans, with all the dystopian possibilities that conjures up. Big tech firms such as Google and Facebook have a disproportionate influence in the development and regulation of many of these technologies and applications. This has allowed them to monopolise the benefits while passing the risks on to everyone else.<\/span><\/p>\n

Looking for global leadership<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

These connections between threats and inequality are a global phenomenon. Solutions need to be similarly global. On climate change, rejoining the Paris Agreement is a necessary step for the new US administration \u2013 but it\u2019s not enough. Most urgently, Biden must work to reconcile bipartisan anti-China sentiment with the reality that China is now a major player in climate politics and must be factored into any solutions.<\/span><\/p>\n

But there is much more the US, and indeed other rich countries, can do. Both by addressing their own emissions, but also building international partnerships to provide developing countries with the financing and technology required for energy transition. Instead of locking lower income countries into the fragile position of relying on commodity exports to maintain their economies, these efforts should assist countries in diversifying into high value-added industries needed in the new green economy and provide them with greater control over their economic development as partners in the global low-carbon economy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Biden can leverage America\u2019s position in international financial institutions such as the World Bank and International Monetary Fund to tackle the debt crisis that not only prevents poorer countries from taking action to mitigate climate change and adapt to its impacts, but has also stymied their COVID-19 relief efforts.<\/span><\/p>\n

The regulation of big tech is another key battleground. Australia\u2019s recent attempts to spread the profits from tech monopolies provoked a public retaliation from Facebook, which temporarily blocked access to Australian news content on its site.<\/span><\/p>\n

These events are a stark reminder of the power of big tech, and it is this same power that must be limited in the context of AI governance. The US has a stake in these issues, and it must play its part in reducing the risks associated with the development and deployment of AI by international corporations.<\/span><\/p>\n

In this area and many others, coordinated international approaches are needed to address the links between threats and inequalities pushing our civilisation towards collapse. Such efforts should be at the top of the Biden-Harris agenda.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jacob Ainscough<\/strong><\/span>
\nResearch Assistant, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, <\/span>
\nUniversity of Cambridge<\/span><\/p>\n

Alex McLaughlin<\/strong><\/span>
\nResearch Associate, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, <\/span>
\nUniversity of Cambridge<\/span><\/p>\n

Luke Kemp<\/strong><\/span>
\nLecturer in International Relations and Environmental Policy, <\/span>
\nAustralian National University<\/span><\/p>\n

Natalie Jones<\/strong><\/span>
\nResearch Associate, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, <\/span>
\nUniversity of Cambridge<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

* Published in print edition on 26 February 2021<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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