{"id":2917,"date":"2014-06-13T06:09:21","date_gmt":"2014-06-13T06:09:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/2014\/06\/13\/editorial-223\/"},"modified":"2018-07-10T09:54:50","modified_gmt":"2018-07-10T05:54:50","slug":"editorial-223","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/editorial-223\/","title":{"rendered":"History does tend to repeat itself"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana;\">The ongoing saga about a possible LP-MMM alliance is showing one surprise after another, which is perhaps not unexpected given the complexity of the political situation. However, those who are attuned to such scenarios and\/or have been keeping a close watch over the style and manner of operating of different protagonists in the negotiations leading up to political alliances could see it coming.<\/span> <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">For a start, Paul B\u00e9renger\u2019s persistent one-upmanship during the past weeks with regard to his negotiations with the Labour Party Leader \u2013 going public with not only the terms of a yet-to-be agreed alliance, who is going to be what on the Front Bench of an LP-MMM government, even riding roughshod over constitutional protocol with his announcement of the President of the Republic (still in office) giving way to Navin Ramgoolam in the context of the Second Republic, and the month the general elections will be held (a prerogative jealously kept by all Prime Ministers) \u2013 could only meet with a snub from the Labour Party Leader.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">This is exactly what happened with the Prime Minister seizing the opportunity of two public appearances on Wednesday to expressly give out a curt denial to what could have appeared to be a gain for the MMM leader but perceived to be a sell-out to his electoral base.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">There\u2019s no question of his abandoning his traditional support base, the PM said, and an alliance (with the MMM) will only be possible when and if it meets with the satisfaction of his party\u2019s objectives. He also made it a point to emphasize that there are a couple of matters (not one minor issue as suggested by the MMM leader) that needed to be sorted out, which would suggest that we\u2019re in for the long haul &#8211; \u201cce n\u2019est pas dans la poche\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">One can understand the desperation of Paul B\u00e9renger to secure a deal from the LP leader \u2013 the prorogation of Parliament and his tacit support of this political move by the Prime Minister is no doubt placing him in an uncomfortable position vis-\u00e0-vis his party and electorate. His credibility and the soundness of his political acumen could be taking a beating given that nothing substantial has been achieved yet despite his repeated assertions that the two parties are very close to concluding a political deal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">But this is a price that B\u00e9renger is willing to pay given the political and electoral gains the MMM would be obtaining from an alliance with the LP on the terms that he may be (mistakenly) believing he would be able to extract from a perceived weakened Labour Party.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\"> What are those terms?<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">&#8211;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 sharing of seats on a 50:50 basis,<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">&#8211;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 the presidency (with powers yet to be defined and confirmed) going to the LP leader, and the prime ministership to the MMM leader with the same powers as emphasized by Paul B\u00e9renger as prescribed in the present constitutional framework\u2026 (welcome bicephalism! En passant it has not been stated yet who is going to be the leader of a LP-MMM alliance\u2026)<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">&#8211;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Introduction of a dose of Proportional Representation with the eligibility threshold raised to 10% &#8211; the MSM leadership is dead against the 10% PR threshold and may not give way to that in the context of a new Remake;<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">&#8211;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Paul B\u00e9renger occupying the post of Prime Minister soon after Navin Ramgoolam accedes to the post of President of the Republic and that also for a full mandate of five years \u2013 in contrast to having to wait in the corridors (in the context of the erstwhile Remake\u2019s deal) for three years before he takes up the post of PM after SAJ moves out.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">As could be expected, these terms could only meet with disapproval from the rank and file of the Labour Party and especially so with its electorate. The LP leader would surely have felt the pulse of his electorate or been informed of the going-on\u2019s which would have placed him on the \u201cwrong side\u201d of the Labour Party\u2019s history. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><span lang=\"EN-GB\" style=\"font-family: Verdana; color: #000000;\">Labourites clearly do not want a \u201csell-out\u201d to the party they have fought for over decades. Paul B\u00e9renger\u2019s one-upmanship during the past weeks has only made matters worse by giving more than an inkling into what the bicephalic leadership in the context of a LP-MMM government would lead to in terms of serenity and political stability in the country. There is a widespread feeling that this cannot work and many not be in the best interests of the LP \u2013 and of the country. This paper has consistently maintained that there has to be only one strong leader and one controlling centre of power, otherwise friction is inevitable \u2013 as past experience has shown. History does tend to repeat itself and, in this case, more likely than not it will.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #00ccff;\"><em>* Published in print edition on 13 June 2014<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The ongoing saga about a possible LP-MMM alliance is showing one surprise after another, which is perhaps not unexpected given the complexity of the political situation. However, those who are attuned to such scenarios and\/or have been keeping a close watch over the style and manner of operating of different protagonists in the negotiations leading [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":6560,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[33],"tags":[37,8331,814,50,49,11726,1009,3292],"class_list":["post-2917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorials","tag-editorial-mk","tag-lp-mmm-alliance","tag-mmm","tag-navin-ramgoolam","tag-paul-berenger","tag-remake","tag-saj","tag-second-republic"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/MT-Logokk.jpg?fit=1200%2C880&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8QzSF-L3","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2917\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6560"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}