{"id":268,"date":"2010-05-07T14:38:36","date_gmt":"2010-05-07T14:38:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/2010\/05\/07\/dev-5\/"},"modified":"2010-05-07T14:38:36","modified_gmt":"2010-05-07T14:38:36","slug":"dev-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/dev-5\/","title":{"rendered":"DEV"},"content":{"rendered":"

L\u00e9gislatives 2010<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Nos pr\u00e9visions : 41-19 en faveur de l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

R\u00e9sultats : 41 \u2013 19<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

En 2005, les principaux titres pronostiquaient une victoire de l\u2019Alliance MMM-MSM et, s\u2019appuyant sur les sondages, avan\u00e7aient le chiffre de 35-25. Pour notre part, \u00e0 Mauritius Times<\/em>, nous avions entrevu la victoire de l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir. Cette fois-ci aucune r\u00e9f\u00e9rence aux sondages n\u2019est faite de la part des analystes. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Il est vrai, comme nous l\u2019avions d\u00e9montr\u00e9, que le dernier sondage de l\u2019agence fran\u00e7aise LH2 fr\u00f4lait le ridicule. Pour rappel, ce sondage donnait une victoire \u00e9crasante, dans tous les cas de figure, \u00e0 l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir avec 52-53% (donc 43% \u00e0 l\u2019opposition) signifiant l\u2019\u00e9lection de plus d\u2019une cinquantaine de candidats de l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir. <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Du coup, pour ces l\u00e9gislatives les observateurs appartenant aux principaux m\u00e9dias ont affich\u00e9 une grande, et ont donc pr\u00e9f\u00e9r\u00e9 ne pas faire de pronostics. Sauf un chroniqueur de l\u2019express et de Radio One qui a fait dans Le Mauricien du 4 mai une pr\u00e9vision extr\u00eamement prudente : la victoire \u00e0 l\u2019un ou l\u2019autre camp \u2014\u00a0 <\/span>either side (!). Le Journal de Samedi a pr\u00e9vu un 37-23 en faveur de l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir alors que Le D\u00e9fi a repris un document attribu\u00e9 aux services de renseignements. Ce document donne 50.05% \u00e0 l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir et 49.95% \u00e0 l\u2019Alliance du C\u0153ur se traduisant par un 32-28 en faveur du bleu-blanc-rouge.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Pour notre part, nous avions pr\u00e9vu, le 30 avril soit 5 jours avant le scrutin, un score de 49% en faveur l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir contre 46% \u00e0 l\u2019Alliance du C\u0153ur, soit en terme d\u2019\u00e9lus 41-19 au plus haut et 32-28 au plus bas.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

1. Notre hypoth\u00e8se pour l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

2. L\u00e9gislatives 2010 — R\u00e9sultats<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

3. R\u00e9sultats d\u00e9taill\u00e9s par circonscription<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong> <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u00e9gislatives 2010 Nos pr\u00e9visions : 41-19 en faveur de l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir R\u00e9sultats : 41 \u2013 19 En 2005, les principaux titres pronostiquaient une victoire de l\u2019Alliance MMM-MSM et, s\u2019appuyant sur les sondages, avan\u00e7aient le chiffre de 35-25. Pour notre part, \u00e0 Mauritius Times, nous avions entrevu la victoire de l\u2019Alliance de l\u2019Avenir. Cette fois-ci […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":264,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/blank.png?fit=1%2C1&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8QzSF-4k","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=268"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/268\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/264"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mauritiustimes.com\/mt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}