ONLINE ISSUE No: 337

Friday 03 October 2008

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QUOTE OF THE WEEK
"For those looking for security, be forewarned that there's nothing more insecure than a political promise."
-- Harry Browne

 

 

So much talk about good governance: how about putting it into practice? 

Adam Smith, a Scotsman and founder of modern economics, is reputed to have advocated the laissez-faire doctrine of free markets in 1776. It is not quite certain whether he also advocated that governments should not interfere at all with the working of markets. However, free market capitalism, following in his wake, has imposed the view over centuries that the markets operate most efficiently if left to themselves without government interference. If we consider the havoc that the working of the free capitalist markets of the United States and Europe is currently wreaking on global markets, we would think twice before accepting wholesale this kind of laissez-faire doctrine. We must at least learn a lesson.

There is currently a Bill making the rounds of the US Senate and Congress, requiring the American public to pump in some 700 billion dollars to salvage the private sector credit markets which operate on the laissez-faire principle. It is being said that, short of this amount, both the financial market and the economy would face dire consequences. Hundreds of billions have already been injected before that into the financial markets of the US and Europe by the central banks and the Treasury to prevent their collapse. In an interconnected world, Mauritius will not get away from those consequences should an economic recession hit the West due to the failure of the free market system. We can take mitigating action as may be necessary.

The question that one may ask is whether those financial markets have fallen into disarray despite all the good governance principles that the West has been broadcasting to the rest of the world since more than one decade. What about the voluminous financial regulation the West has been imposing for years on the rest of the world? Has it forgotten to practise what it has been preaching to us? There is much resistance in the US, despite the scare of economic recession being cleverly distilled by Western media, to the proposal to bail the private sector out of the great indulgence it has been thrusting upon itself for years. People are asking whether it is fair for all the huge profits of yesterday to have been pocketed by rich private individuals in the period before while socialising today the huge losses and risks their mishandling of markets has occasioned. In Europe, the new proposal is to give 100% deposit insurance to depositors so as to keep up their confidence in the failing financial institutions. One may wonder whether this is not a licence for the financial institutions to continue employing deposits as rashly as before.

The hypocrisy of some who ride high on principles without abiding by the same is well known. Just as well known is their hypocrisy when they credit themselves without batting an eyelid with the dividends they appropriate from the good work done by others but keep harping on the latter’s inefficiency for whatever they would have not got quite as all right. When the going is good, controls are seen as anathema by the private sector against the so-called business friendliness. We are told that our competitors would be getting a more liberal treatment from their controllers; that their competitive edge is being eroded. But when loose controls throw the system out of gear or bring reprimands from foreign governments on our poor practices, it is workers who run the risk of being thrown out of jobs. This is what has been going on in America: the wealth owners have landed with “golden parachutes” in the crisis but the workers are being laid off in the thousands. Consumers are becoming poorer by the day.

Take the case of the monetary policy being followed by the Bank of Mauritius (BoM). Its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) found the latest pretext for not changing the interest rate at its 29th September meeting. The pretext was the ongoing financial crisis. The MPC has been prioritising a falling interest rate stance since at least half year now and it should be quite clear that it is bent on protecting the “vulnerable” private sector! As usual, the private sector attributes all its weakness to local parameters. The MPC is of course sorry that high inflation has been hitting your purchasing power hard and it even acknowledges that the going is likely to be tough for the people’s purchasing power in future. It tenders apologies but maintains that it should continue to adopt a monetary policy that will more likely depreciate the rupee than repair the damage already done to you through past inflation. Never mind the inflation you have been paying for due to past rupee depreciation! Where was the MPC when billions of rupees of windfall depreciation gains were being pocketed by the individual private sector exporters? Where has all this money gone so that the MPC has to keep standing up for the private sector against the people?

Our private sector appears to have acted even more smartly than the American one. It has remained quiet about the enormous exchange gains it has been pocketing in the past by actively promoting currency depreciation. It has laid off workers and is continuing to do so if it cannot go on making money at the same pace as in the past. It has managed to get the entire tax system geared to its benefit while savers have to bear the brunt of taxation on every identifiable source of income and even on their past savings in the form of their residences through the NRPT. Before any crisis has hit over here, the private sector has already convinced the MPC of the Bank of Mauritius that it should take no chances by raising the interest rate. It has prepared the ground for further currency depreciation by keeping the interest rate on hold.

Its lobby appears to be so strong that it has, other than diverting the BoM from its main pursuit, i.e. the control of inflation, caused a rift in its governing body. We are no longer to expect the serenity that an institution like the BoM should inspire or the collegiate responsibility which is the hallmark of such institutions worldwide. The prolongation of the conflicting situation at the BoM is undermining the country’s goodwill. The private sector should have been able to put a brake to its destabilising influence by allowing even a small increase in the interest rate over the paltry 25 basis points it conceded the last time. It should have allowed the institution to be also run for the good of the wider public. But it will not relent as its appetite is large. This is how our top institutions are putting the principles of good governance into practice.  It’s a pity that it should have come to this. 

M.K.

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